ROLE OF THE FIXED EXCHANGE RATE REGIME IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES (THE CASE OF CHINA)

Miloš Todorović, Jelena Mladenović

DOI Number
-
First page
561
Last page
583

Abstract


The subject of this paper is determining role of the fixed exchange rate regime in developing countries, through the analysis of the Chinese exchange rate, and its repercussions on the balance of goods and services and the economic growth in the period from 1983 to 2014. The aim of the paper is to identify the economic growth environment of China by analysing three types of relationships: the relationship between exchange rate and exports of goods and services, relationship between exports of goods and services and gross domestic product, and relationship between exchange rate and growth rate of gross domestic product. The research conducted in this work confirms great importance of the fixed exchange rate regime in developing countries for reducing the economic development gap in relation to developed countries. Based on the research results, the work recommends coordinated action of monetary and fiscal policies, as a measure through which exchange rate policy could stimulate economic growth, while discouraging inflationary tendencies in the economy.


Keywords

economic growth, exchange rate, export, international trade.

Full Text:

PDF (Cрпски)

References


Aliyev, R. (2014). Determinants of the Choice of Exchange Rate Regime in Resource-Rich Countries. Charles University and Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, p. 4.

Acin, Đ., Todorović, M., Acin-Sigulinski, S. (2006). Međunarodni ekonomski odnosi. Novi Sad: Pigmalion.

Aghion, Ph., Bacchetta, Ph., Romain, R., Kenneth, R. (2009). Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 56, 494-513. DOI 10.3386/w12117.

Bahmani-Oskooee, M., Hegerty, S., Kutan, A. (2008). Do nominal devaluations lead to real devaluations? Evidence from 89 countries. International Review of Economics and Finance, 17 (4), 644-670. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2007.05.004

Bleaney, M., Francisco, M. (2007). Exchange Rate Regimes, Inflation and Growth in Developing Countries – An Assessment. The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics. 7 (1), Article 18.

Boltho, A. (1996). Convergence, competitiveness and the exchange rate, Economic Growth in Europe Since 1945. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. DOI https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511758683.006

Fejzaj, E. (2014). Determination of Exchange Rate Regimes in an unstable economy. International Journal of Innovative Research in Science, Engineering and Technology, 3 (4), 10849-10852.

Ćirović, M. (2000). Devizni kursevi. Beograd: Bridge Company.

Husain, A., Mody, A., Rogoff, K. (2005). Exchange Rate Regime Durability and Performance in Developing versus Advanced Economies. Journal of Monetary Economics, 52, 35-64. DOI 10.3386/w10673

Ghosh, A. R., Gulde, A-M, Wolf, H. (2002). Exchange Rate Regimes: Choices and Consequences. Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press. ISBN 0-262-07240-8.

Gluzmann, P.A., Levy-Yeyati, E., Sturzenegger, F. (2012). Exchange rate undervaluation and economic growth: Diaz Alejandro (1965) revisited. Economics Letters, 117, 666-672. URL http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165176512004077

Jakob, B. (2016). Impact of Exchange Rate Regimes on Economic Growth. Undergraduate Economic Review, 12 (1), 1-22.

Moreno, R. (2001). Pegging and Stabilization Policy in Developing Countries. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Economic Review, 17-29. URL http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/2001/article2-3.pdf

Mundell, R. (1995). The International Monetary System: The Missing Factor. Journal of Policy Modeling, 17 (5), 479-492.

Rodrik, D. (2007). The Real Exchange Rate and Economic Growth: Theory and Evidence. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, Cambridge.

Upadhyaya, K., “Currency devaluation, aggregate output, and the long run: an empirical study”, Economics Letters, Volume 64, Issue 2, August 1999, 197-202. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-1765(99)00088-9

Website of World Bank, World Bank Indicators (http://data.worldbank.org/indicator)

Website of International Monetary Fund (http://www.imf.org)

Website of European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu)

Website of Bank for International Settlements (https://www.bis.org)

Website of The People’s Bank of China (http://www.pbc.gov.cn)

Website of XE Live Exchange Rates (http://www.xe.com)

Website of FXStreet, The Forex Market (http://www.fxstreet.com/)


Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


© University of Niš, Serbia
Creative Commons licence CC BY-NC-ND
Print ISSN: 0353-7919
Online ISSN: 1820-7804